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Top 5 Reasons Why the Market is Falling in 2025 in India

Submitted by admin on January 15th, 2025

There are several reasons that make the development of the Indian stock market in 2025 significantly below the previous levels. Here’s a breakdown of the key reasons behind the market’s fall:

Global Economic Indicators

  • S. Economic Data: Higher than expected U.S. employment index signalled that there would be less Fed rate cuts in future.
  • Stronger U.S. Dollar: Slow economic growth has also been occasioned by increase in the cost of overseas loans due to the depreciation of the overseas currencies such as the Indian Rupee in relation to the U.S. dollar and the forthcoming economic auctions.
  • Impact on Indian Stocks: Another cause is the change in global economic environment has seen India’s stocks being traded.

Foreign Investor Outflows

  • FPI Selling: They have been withdrawing funds from Indian shares, popularly known as Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs).
  • Recent Data: FPIs sold ₹2,254.68 crore worth of stocks on January 13, 2025.
  • Effect on Market: Investor’s portfolio outflow has been partly responsible for lowered stock prices due to decreased confidence in the Indian shopping markets.

Currency Depreciation

  • Rupee Decline: Currently, Indian rupee stands at record low with USD INR stand at 86.5825.
  • Reasons for Depreciation: Capital importing countries and modest role played by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
  • Market Sentiment: This makes any imported good or input expensive, while may lead to inflation thus forcing investors to be extra careful.

Rising Oil Prices

  • Global Oil Price Surge: The benchmark Brent crude oil prices have crossed the $80 per barrel.
  • Impact on India: India being an importer of oil is an addition, therefore it has to pay higher import prices as a result of the increased prices.
  • Investor Concerns: This causes inflation, increase in cost which is undesirable because it brings down the value of stocks in India.

Economic Growth Concerns

  • Slower GDP Growth: India’s GDP growth for FY 2025 is now expected to be 6.4%, the lowest in four years.
  • Contributing Factors: Relatively weaker manufacturing, cut down in corporate investments, and slow domestic demand.
  • Investor Sentiment: A slower growth outlook has dampened investor optimism, leading to a negative market trend.

Conclusion

The decline in the Indian stock market in 2025 is driven by a mix of global and domestic factors:

  • Global economic shifts.
  • Foreign investor outflows.
  • Currency depreciation.
  • Rising oil prices.
  • Slower economic growth.

As these challenges continue to affect the market, investors must stay informed and consider their options carefully. While these factors have led to a market downturn, opportunities may arise as conditions stabilize.

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